Scoring Chances: Game 56 @ Carolina

February 19, 2012 at 12:21 AM | Posted in Scoring Chances | 1 Comment
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Scoring Chances: Game 34 v. Vancouver

December 29, 2011 at 12:43 AM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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Scoring Chances: Game 33 v. Anaheim

December 26, 2011 at 11:28 PM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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Scoring Chances: Game 32 v. Los Angeles

December 23, 2011 at 10:24 PM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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Scoring Chances: Game 31 v. Tampa Bay

December 21, 2011 at 10:31 PM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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Zonestart Power Rankings

December 19, 2011 at 2:30 PM | Posted in General NHL | Leave a comment
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A “fancy” stat that doesn’t get a ton of play anymore in the advanced stats community in hockey is even-strength zonestarts at the team level. Zonestarts are always brought up when evaluating specific players since those who start an inordinate amount of their shifts with an offensive zone faceoff will inevitably have the puck more often, create a greater number of scoring opportunities and score more goals while the reverse applies to players buried with starts in their own end of the ice. But while a large number of offensive zone starts at the individual level are essentially a handicap that needs to be accounted for, teams that start shifts in the opponent’s end more than their own have earned that right through sustained possession and other plays that force the opposing goaltender to freeze the puck.

Way back in 2008, the great Vic Ferrari looked at all four NHL seasons between 2003-2008 and discovered that the correlation between teams’ offensive zone start% at even strength and their even strength goal ratio was an impressive 0.71 while the repeatability of receiving offensive zone starts at a given rate at the team level over those four years was 0.87, further suggesting starting in the bad guys’ end of the ice more often than your own is a persistent team talent. While I don’t believe it’s a superior indicator of true talent and thereby a better predictor of future success than shot-based metrics like score-tied Corsi, score-tied Fenwick and scoring chance differential, it’s still a great proxy for even strength puck possession and interesting to take a look at. Click through for team zonestart rankings through Sunday’s games.

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Scoring Chances: Game 30 v. Edmonton

December 19, 2011 at 12:10 AM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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Scoring Chances: Game 29 v. Colorado

December 16, 2011 at 1:27 AM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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Who are the Sharks’ best shot blockers?

December 15, 2011 at 11:13 AM | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Terrific Oilers blog The Copper & Blue recently looked at blocked shots statistics in a slightly different light with the intent of determining which Edmonton players are truly the most efficient at getting in the way of vulcanized rubber and which ones have been racking up gaudy blocked shots totals as a result of spending an inordinate amount of time in their own end. They did this by figuring out how many opposition shot attempts at even strength (as in, goals plus shots on goals plus missed shots plus blocked shots) a player has been on the ice for and what percentage of those shot attempts he’s individually blocked.

I did the same for the Sharks. Click through to see which San Jose players are really the best at blocking shots in even-strength situations. The leading forward might surprise you (well not if you looked at the picture above, I suppose).

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Scoring Chances: Game 28 @ Colorado

December 13, 2011 at 8:53 PM | Posted in Scoring Chances | Leave a comment
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